Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for La Liga derby

The first Madrid derby of the season beckons as Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid do battle for the bragging rights in the Spanish capital.

These outfits endured very different outcomes in midweek as the Champions League returned for the group stage.

Atletico, hosts for this weekend’s match, were stunned by Lazio in the final minute as they drew 1-1 thanks to a very late equaliser from none other than the Italian side’s goalkeeper, who headed home with the last touch of the match. 

In contrast, new star midfielder Jude Bellingham netted a very late winner for Real Madrid as they eventually toppled Union Berlin at Santiago Bernabeu. This weekend will be the first taste of the derby for England star Bellingham, who has made a stunning start to life in Spain.

See below for the latest odds and prediction for this huge La Liga clash between the early title pace-setters and Diego Simeone’s prospective challengers.

MORE: Jude Bellingham goals for Real Madrid: Stats for England star with Los Blancos

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid match facts

  • Date: Sunday, September 24
  • Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid, Spain)
  • Official: Javier Alberola Rojas
  • Last meeting: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid | February, 25. 2023 (La Liga)

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Draw (+230)
  • Score prediction: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid
  ATL
win
Draw RMA
win
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
2.5 goals
BetMGM
(USA)
+175 +230 +150 -135 / -110 -110 / -130

In Canada, bet La Liga at Sports Interaction: See latest odds for Atletico vs. Real Madrid here

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid best bet

  • Pick: Under 2.5 goals scored
  • Odds: -130 (BetMGM)

As seen with the last result between these two sides — a 1-1 stalemate back in February in La Liga — these Madrid derby matches usually don’t see high-scoring results.

Remarkably, only one of the previous eight league clashes contested by the pair have witnessed over 2.5 goals scored. Games involving the two biggest Madrid sides tend to be cagey affairs.

That single game with more than 2.5 goals scored came in this corresponding fixture last season — a 2-1 win for Madrid — but with Atletico not conceding more than once in any of their past 17 home league outings, this selection has a real chance of coming in this weekend.

Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid flier bet

  • Pick: Jude Bellingham to score first
  • Odds: +650 (BetMGM)

After netting six goals in his first six competitive matches for Real Madrid, it’s really hard to ignore Jude Bellingham in this clash.

At +650 to score first, this bet with BetMGM represents such good value, especially as he netted first again in midweek against Union Berlin in his Champions League debut for the club.

So far this campaign, he’s twice opened the scoring in Real Madrid matches and has three times netted first for his side after the opposition has scored first.

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