Best MLB prop bets today: Corey Seager highlights top picks for Twins-Astros, Rangers-Orioles
After an exhilarating NLDS doubleheader on Monday, we can only hope that Tuesday’s ALDS twin bill can deliver even more unforgettable playoff moments. For MLB DFS players searching for actionable props to make today’s Twins-Astros and Rangers-Orioles games a bit more intriguing, head over to SuperDraft to craft your favorite player prop parlay(s).
SuperDraft users can win 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged player prop parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay, the larger your potential payout becomes, but as the long odds indicate, completing a clean sweep is challenging. If you were to put down a $20 entry fee and all four of our props below hit, you’d get a $200 payout.
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Below, we’ll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Tuesday’s ALDS doubleheader. Users don’t necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Twins-Astros, Rangers-Orioles
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
1. Corey Seager, SS, Rangers – OVER 1.5 bases
Although Seager was on base in Texas’ 11-8 win in Game 2, drawing five walks, he’s yet to total two plus bases via hits this series. Texas’ two-hole hitter draws a favorable matchup against Baltimore right-hander Dean Kremer (13-5, 4.51 FIP, .293 BABIP), someone he’s totaled three hits in six at-bats in his career against.
It doesn’t help that Kremer’s allowed 171 hits in 172.2 innings this season, as he struggles to generate swings and misses (24 percent whiff %) while allowing hard contact at a suboptimal rate (41st percentile in hard-hit rate). We like Seager to barrel one up in the gap for his first extra-base hit of the ALDS.
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2. Kyle Tucker, RF, Astros – OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs
Tucker and the Astros need a bounce-back offensive showing after Pablo Lopez shut them down over seven innings of work. It won’t get any easier against the Twins’ No. 2, Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.83 FIP, .295 BABIP), but we expect the Astros offense to have a more competent offensive day in Game 3.
While it’s not the warmest day in Minneapolis, the hitting conditions are in Tucker’s favor, with winds blowing out to right field. He’s likely to be up at bat with runners in scoring position, putting him in position to record two-plus hits, runs, and RBIs.
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3. Jeremy Pena, SS, Astros – UNDER 0.5 singles
After a heroic 2022 postseason that saw the rookie shortstop take home ALCS and World Series MVP honors, Pena’s continued his strong play this postseason (.375 AVG, .875 OPS). That said, we’re fading Houston’s shortstop in Game 3, as he’s likely to see a heavy dosage of breaking balls from Gray. Pena’s hitting just .206 against breaking pitches this season compared to a .305 average against fastballs.
Even if Gray falls behind in the count in his head-to-head bouts with Pena, we don’t expect him to give Pena a fastball he can square up. After Gray leaves the game, unless today’s game is lopsided, we trust a steady Twins bullpen to keep Pena in check in the late innings.
4. Mitch Garver, C, Rangers – UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs
Garver was one of the Rangers’ heroes in Game 2, blowing the contest opening with a third-inning grand slam. His game-changing swing might entice DFS players to bet his OVER 1.5 hits, runs, and RBIs prop tonight, but baseball’s one of the few sports where logic tends to defy itself. Garver’s been a steady bat in the middle of Texas’ order, but with his stock soaring, we’ll take a chance and fade the Rangers’ designated hitter.