Best MLB prop bets today: Randy Arozarena, Royce Lewis highlight top picks for Wednesday’s playoff games
The best sports month of the year is officially underway, and postseason baseball has arrived. With just about every sport imaginable in the news, there are even more chances to win some extra money as the holiday season fast approaches. We’re looking to give some nice gifts this year, so we’ll need to maximize our efforts to take as much money from the sportsbooks as possible. The MLB wild-card round shifts its attention to a quartet of Game 2s today, and we like some hot hitters along with some cautious managers to deliver the goods and the entire bag of cash like your delivery service of choice.
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Below, we’ll break down four of our favorite player props on SuperDraft for Wednesday’s MLB wild-card slate. Users don’t necessarily have to parlay all four picks together, though. Instead, you could make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.
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Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Wild Card Game 2
*10x potential payout if users parlay all four correct picks
Randy Arozarena, OF, Rays vs. Rangers – OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
With their backs against the wall, the Rays need a good showing on Wednesday to keep their season alive. They put forth an uncharacteristic game on Tuesday, committing four errors in what became a 4-0 loss to send Tampa quickly to the brink of elimination. However, Arozarena was back to his usual playoff antics, going 2-for-4 with a double while playing in front of his mom for the first time as a big leaguer. If Tampa wants to see another 24 hours of postseason play, they’ll need their best bat to produce when the pressure is on.
Luckily for them, he’s been known to do that, slashing .339/.419/.706 in 32 postseason games. With the Rangers’ starter Nathan Eovaldi struggling lately, we expect Arozarena to deliver again for his mom. He’ll find his way to cover this number that gives us multiple ways to win with hits, runs, or RBI’s. The Randy man definitely can.
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Royce Lewis, 3B, Twins vs. Blue Jays – OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Has another playoff star been born? Even though it’s October, Jhoan Duran and Lewis have the heat cranked all the way up in Minnesota. The Twins, who snuck into the postseason in an awful AL Central, won their first playoff game in 19 years thanks to the bat of the rookie Lewis. Minnesota’s postseason losing streak would end at 18 in a state known for experiencing plenty of playoff heartbreak over the years. Lewis is on his way to fixing that after mashing two home runs in his first two postseason at-bats, igniting the crowd into a frenzy. Against the former Twin Jose Berrios, the one-man wrecking crew will have to do it again in a lineup that was mostly quiet otherwise.
If there’s anything we know about postseason baseball, getting hot at the right time is arguably a team’s best weapon. We saw how Arozarena’s blazing hot streak once carried Tampa to the World Series. We’re not saying Lewis will do the same, but we won’t ignore what he’s capable of doing either. For a rookie who slashed .309/.372/.548 with 67 hits and 15 home runs in just 58 games, it’s not like he just came out of nowhere. The Twins’ third baseman just introduced himself to a national audience. An encore performance is on the way as Minnesota tries to send the Blue Jays home for the winter.
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Freddy Peralta, SP, Brewers vs. Diamondbacks – UNDER 5.5 strikeouts
Pitching in the postseason is a tough nut to crack, as teams try to walk the fine line between careful and reckless. We know that Peralta can rack up the strikeouts with ease, but we also know he’s prone to throwing a lot of pitches. Milwaukee suffered a crushing loss in Game 1 after blowing a 3-0 lead with their ace Corbin Burnes on the hill. Craig Counsell won’t have the luxury of waiting for Peralta to figure it out on the mound tonight as they face elimination. Expect Peralta to get the quick hook if things begin to go south as the Brewers try to save their season.
In three career postseason starts, he has yet to pitch more than four innings. Peralta has recorded six Ks once before, but that type of length doesn’t make us comfortable hoping for an OVER here. The Diamondbacks have only struck out 20.4 percent of the time this season, which is the fourth-best K rate in the league. It could get very sweaty, but we’re on the UNDER here.
Aaron Nola, SP, Phillies vs. Marlins – UNDER 6 strikeouts
Much like Peralta, we on the UNDER here, too, with Nola. The Marlins own the eighth-best K-rate in the league, striking out only 21.3 percent of the time. The Phillies will want to close out their NL East division foe on Wednesday before preparing for a trip to Atlanta in an NLDS matchup with the Braves. Asking for seven strikeouts from Nola with a rested bullpen is too much for our liking. If Miami drives up the pitch count or gets the Philly starter into trouble, Rob Thomson could be signaling for the bullpen in an effort to avoid a coin-flip Game 3 on Thursday.
He’s hit six strikeouts exactly in all three games against the Marlins this season, meaning we’d be in line for a push here if history repeats itself. In five postseason starts, Nola has pushed this number in three games but not the past two. Like Peralta, it will definitely be sweaty, but the UNDER is the play.