Inter Miami vs Toronto FC prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Lionel Messi in MLS match

With 36-year-old Lionel Messi’s availability now up in the air every single match, Inter Miami are under pressure to take points at every opportunity.

Following a 5-2 humbling at Atlanta United over the weekend, nothing but a full three points will be acceptable as they host basement-dwellers Toronto FC at DRV PNK Stadium on Wednesday.

Inter Miami have made a furious charge to secure an improbable playoff spot, but there’s still plenty of work to do, sitting seven points back of the final Eastern Conference postseason berth. With Messi in the squad, the club is unbeaten in both Cup and League play, but they slumped to defeat with the Argentine rested, and their defensive frailties again laid bare.

With just seven matches remaining, there’s no room for error, and against a struggling Toronto side, anything but a win would see their playoff chances slashed significantly. Whether Messi takes part is still to be determined, and manager Gerardo Martino was non-committal on his involvement yet again.

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC match facts

  • Date: Wednesday, September 20
  • Kickoff Time: 7:30 p.m. ET / 12:30 a.m. BST (Thu, Sep. 21) / 9:30 a.m. AEST (Thu, Sep. 21)
  • Location: DRV PNK Stadium (Ft. Lauderdale, FL)
  • Official: Jair Marrufo
  • Last meeting: Toronto FC 2-0 Inter Miami (Mar. 18, 2023 | MLS)

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Inter Miami (-275)
  • Score prediction: Inter Miami 3-2 Toronto FC

Despite the heavy defeat last time out, the betting market does not seem deterred from Inter Miami, and against the only team below them in the Eastern Conference standings, the hosts are considered significant favorites.

There’s also an expectation for goals as Inter Miami’s defensive struggles continue and Toronto FC also have issues at the back. Toronto have not kept a clean sheet since late May, a long run of poor defensive form.

  Inter Miami
Draw Toronto
Both teams
to score Y / N
Over / Under
3.5 goals
-275 +425 +650 -145 / +100 +110 / -155 -110 -130

In Canada, bet on MLS at Sports Interaction: See the latest odds for Inter Miami vs. Toronto FC here

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC best bet

  • Pick: Both teams to score — YES
  • Odds: -145 (BetMGM)

It’s always possible that with Lionel Messi back on the field, Toronto FC can’t manage to find enough possession to create good chances, but given Inter Miami’s defensive struggles of late, that’s a risk we’re willing to take.

Inter Miami can create chances even without Messi on the field, so their side of the bargain isn’t a worry. While Toronto struggle to pick up results consistently, they are improving up front, bagging a goal in three of their last four after a brutal stretch of four straight league games without scoring.

These odds aren’t easy to stomach, but they’re still more palatable than they probably should be, only held back by the bitter taste of Toronto’s previous attacking issues. DeAndre Kerr’s good recent form is a shot in the arm here, and one we’re backing.

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC prop bet

  • Pick: Leonardo Campana to score anytime
  • Odds: +105 (BetMGM)

While Inter Miami reel from the return of their defensive frailties, they have sorted some things out up front. After months of uncertainty, it’s now unquestioned that they have a true, everyday No. 9 in Leonardo Campana.

Campana’s injury issues midseason brought Josef Martinez into greater prominence, but Martinez has struggled to provide a threat up front, and with Campana now back in good form, he has been the go-to individual for Tata Martino up front. Campana has a goal in three straight league matches, and he could be a threat here against a struggling Toronto defense which hasn’t kept a clean sheet in nearly four full months.

MORE: Inside Inter Miami MLS playoff race: Tracking Lionel Messi’s climb up Eastern Conference standings

Inter Miami vs Toronto FC live stream, TV channel

MORE: Watch Premier League matches live with Fubo in USA

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